Thursday, 1 May 2008

6 out of 6 for New Approach?



The Punters Guide at last returned to the winner’s enclosure at the weekend after we tipped up 25/1 shot Monkerhostin to win the win the Bet 365 Gold Cup at Sandown.
We have had a lean spell in the last few months and let’s hope this is the start of a good run.
It must be summer already, we have the Guineas this weekend. Indeed, we start with the 2,000 Guineas on Saturday (3.25) and we have a hot favourite in the shape of Jim Bolger’s unbeaten New Approach (below, 2/1). He ran out a brave winner of the Dewhurst over the Newmarket course in October and had Ravens Pass behind that day. If the colt has trained on to a three-year-old, then it’s simple, he will make it six from six on Saturday. Not all of them progress, though.
Of the dangers, we are putting up Moynahan from the Paul Cole yard who looks to me overpriced at 50/1 – that’s just under 16/1 the place. He has had two runs: a fourth on his debut at Goodwood and then he looked classy when winning at Doncaster. The best-backed horse this week has been the Aidan O’Brien-trained Henrythenavigator who is now a 12/1 shot from 20s. But this one has ground to make up on New Approach since their two-year-old days.
They Bet: New Approach 2/1, Ravens Pass 9/2, Ibn Khaldun 6/1, Jupiter Pluvius 12/1, Henrythenavigator 14/1, Stimulation 16/1, Fireside 20/1, Perfect Stride 22/1, Rio De La Plata 25/1 and it’s 33/1 bar these.
On to the mares with the 1,000 Guineas on Sunday (3.20) and this is a closer betting field with unbeaten fillies Infallible and Natagora battling it for favouritism with the latter being backed in to fours from 20s, same price she was prior to winning the Dubai Duty Free at Newbury.
Jockeys sometimes – sorry, most of the time – put me off a horse and let’s just say I’m not a big fan of Richard Hills (he’ll probably get a Guineas double now!)
We like the look of the John Gosden-trained INFALLIBLE, who looked a cut above when hacking up here in the Nell Gwyn Stakes to make it two course wins out of two – she looks a solid bet on Sunday. The big danger could be the French trained Natagora (9/2) who comes to Newmarket with a tall reputation
They Bet: Infallible 4/1, Muthabara 4/1, Natagora 9/2, Spacious 6/1, Kitty Matcham 14/1, Savethisdanceforme 14/1, Laureldean Gale 20/1, Psalm 20/1, Halfway To Heaven 33/1, Lush Lashes 33/1, Nahoodh 33/1, Saoirse Abu 33/1, Max One Two Three 40/1, Francesca DGiorgio 50/1, Nijoom Dubai 50/1, Royal Confidence 50/1, Lady Deauville 66/1, Spinning Lucy 100/1.
Next week sees the big May Chester meeting and you’re advised to keep a look out for the progressive Highland Legacy in the Cup on Wednesday – he currently trades at around 7/1 and looks like very good value.

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